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How Likely Is a Bipolar Relapse? Avoiding Bipolar Relapse

by Natasha Tracy | May 19, 2014 | Bipolar blog, bipolar disorder, treatment issues | 2 comments

Natasha Tracy

Recently, I was asked about planning for the future with bipolar disorder considering the threat of imminent relapse. This individual was in the last year of medical school and wanted to know how to plan the rest of his life, knowing that, at any moment, he might have a bipolar relapse. He was on meds, and they kept him functional, most of the time, but the bipolar medication didn’t prevent two major relapses in the past.

So the questions in this scenario are: How likely is a bipolar relapse? How can I avoid a bipolar relapse? How can I plan a life with such uncertainty?

How Likely Is a Bipolar Relapse?

It is fair to say that most people with bipolar disorder – on medication or not – will relapse at some point in the future. No, not everyone, but most will. In a 2014 naturalistic study of 300 patients with bipolar I and bipolar II, over the course of four years, 68% relapsed and most relapsed to the polarity of their initial episode (in other words, if you initially got sick with a manic episode, you’re more likely to relapse into mania rather than depression). The average time to relapse was 208 days. Lithium appeared to reduce the risk of relapse and switching medications or stopping medications increased the risk of relapse. People with no bipolar symptoms during remission also fair better than those with lingering, untreated symptoms.

So bipolar relapse is a reality we must face, and yes, probably even plan on.

Avoiding Bipolar Relapse

Even with the best coping skills in the world, you may not be able to avoid a bipolar relapse, and you shouldn’t feel bad if you fall into this category. However, given this, my advice on fighting bipolar relapse is this:

  • Keep up with your treatment – that means medication and psychotherapy for most
  • Take bipolar seriously and remember if you don’t actively fight it, it will likely come back with a vengeance
  • Change your lifestyle to create a more stable environment that is less likely to lead to relapse (this means make sleep a priority and create a bipolar routine, among other things)
  • Reduce your stress
  • Learn about the prodromal (early) symptoms of a bipolar episode to nip any relapse in the bud
  • Track your mood and watch for subtle changes
  • Learn bipolar coping skills like those taught in cognitive behavioral therapy
  • Don’t take you wellness for granted – work at keeping it every day

Of course, all of this doesn’t handle the question of planning for such an uncertain future. Next time, I will get to that question.

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Written by Natasha Tracy

Natasha Tracy is an award-winning writer, speaker, advocate, and consultant from the Pacific Northwest. She has been living with bipolar disorder for 26 years and has written more than 2000 articles on the subject.

Find more of Natasha’s work in her acclaimed book: "Lost Marbles: Insights into My Life with Depression & Bipolar" on Amazon.

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2 Comments

  1. Chris Beaverhausen

    How likely is the sun to come up? Pretty likely… Might be a good idea for someone to have a plan as what to do if they have a relapse. That’s something actually productive to think about rather than just building anxiety worrying. In my own life I’ve found dealing with it is the only real long term solution.

    Reply
  2. Rachel Pappas

    Hi Natasha,

    I think your advice can be applied to so many people beyond those with bipolar disorder – of course the advice would need to be tweaked for the persons’ scenario. But so many folks have so many things going on where they never know what may happen moving forward. In my family there are several of us with the dx of bipolar (though the dx changes, depending on the practitioner). And we have other hard illnesses and other things going on that make you realize you just don’t know what will be from one day to the next. And I have met many more of them through different support groups whether for Lyme, cancer, MS, mental illness, etc. that face issues like they have a full time job for 30 years and now realize they may never work again. . I think we need to look at our special circumstances – that would be our illness and how it affects our day to day, or how it may later affect us. And we should look at other details tied to our personal scenarios from how it affects our job/financial stability, parenting/family/friendship issues; where else we might try and get support, etc. And like you say, come up with a plan and realize we have some control, but not all the control on the world.

    Reply

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